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F Q3 Deep Dive: Strong Execution, Industrial Progress, and Regulatory Tailwinds Drive Results

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Automotive manufacturer Ford (NYSE:F) reported Q3 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 9.4% year on year to $50.53 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.45 per share was 25.4% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Ford (F) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $50.53 billion vs analyst estimates of $46.33 billion (9.4% year-on-year growth, 9.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.45 vs analyst estimates of $0.36 (25.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $4.11 billion vs analyst estimates of $3.25 billion (8.1% margin, 26.4% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 3.1%, up from 1.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 5.6% year on year (0.8% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $49.11 billion

StockStory’s Take

Ford’s third quarter performance drew a positive market reaction as the company outpaced Wall Street expectations for both revenue and non-GAAP profits. Management credited this outcome to robust demand for key products including the F-150, Bronco, and a surging hybrid lineup. CEO Jim Farley highlighted the team’s rapid crisis response following the Novelis aluminum supply disruption, noting that Ford “immediately mobilized a dedicated crisis team” and took steps to secure alternative supplies while boosting F-Series production. Progress in cost efficiency and quality improvements also played a significant role in the quarter’s results.

Looking ahead, Ford’s guidance is shaped by evolving regulatory policies, ongoing cost reductions, and continued investment in its next-generation vehicle platforms. CFO Sherry House pointed to anticipated relief from U.S. emissions compliance costs and the scaling of hybrid and affordable electric vehicle offerings as key drivers for future profitability. Management remains focused on capital efficiency and leveraging smart partnerships, with Farley stating, “We are well positioned for [EV growth] with the universal EV platform, which underpins digitally advanced, very spacious and appealing products that start at around $30,000.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Ford leadership attributed the outperformance to decisive crisis management, cost discipline, and a diversified product mix, with regulatory and industry factors also influencing the quarter.

  • Rapid crisis recovery: The Novelis aluminum supply disruption was addressed by mobilizing a crisis team, securing alternative sources, and increasing F-Series production capacity. Management expects these actions to minimize the negative impact on future quarters.
  • Quality and cost improvements: COO Kumar Galhotra cited systemic improvements in launch execution and warranty management, resulting in lower recall costs and a projected $1 billion in annual cost savings, excluding tariffs. AI-powered cameras and enhanced powertrain testing contributed to better reliability and early defect detection.
  • Ford Pro momentum: President Andrew Frick highlighted the growth of Ford Pro, driven by a diverse portfolio, expanded service and software offerings, and a balanced mix across commercial, government, and small-to-medium business channels. Software subscriptions grew 8% year over year, increasing customer retention and parts sales.
  • Hybrid and product mix strategy: Management emphasized a pivot toward hybrids and high-margin vehicles, responding to evolving customer demand and regulatory changes. The hybrid truck market, where Ford maintains around 70% share, was a particular bright spot.
  • Tariff and regulatory developments: Recent U.S. tariff policies and anticipated tailpipe emission rule changes were flagged as beneficial, allowing Ford to offset some input cost pressures and optimize its product mix, especially in high-demand segments like off-road and hybrids.

Drivers of Future Performance

Ford’s outlook is informed by regulatory shifts, ongoing cost initiatives, and a focus on next-generation vehicle investment and product mix optimization.

  • Regulatory relief and mix optimization: Management expects that changes in U.S. emissions standards will reduce compliance costs, enabling Ford to prioritize high-demand and higher-margin vehicles like hybrids, off-road models, and premium trims. CFO Sherry House indicated a significant reduction in credit purchase obligations, improving profitability.
  • Cost efficiency and industrial modernization: Continued focus on operational efficiency—including warranty cost reduction, supplier negotiations, and AI-driven quality controls—is projected to deliver another $1 billion in cost improvements. These savings are targeted for reinvestment in strategic vehicle cycle plans and new platform launches.
  • EV and hybrid transition: Investment will accelerate in Ford’s universal EV platform and Marshall, Michigan battery plant, with management believing affordable EVs and hybrids will play a central role in future growth. While short-term EV adoption will remain modest, Ford anticipates increased demand for lower-cost, digitally enabled electric vehicles as the market evolves.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Going forward, the StockStory team will be watching (1) Ford’s ability to restore and sustain F-Series production following the Novelis supply disruption, (2) the impact of regulatory changes on product mix and compliance costs, and (3) execution of cost-saving initiatives and industrial modernization. Progress on launching the universal EV platform and scaling hybrid adoption will also be important signals for Ford’s competitive position.

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