Home

Sunrun, Sphere Entertainment, Installed Building Products, AMC Entertainment, and American Airlines Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know

RUN Cover Image

What Happened?

A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a cautious stance on future monetary policy decisions during a speech in Chicago, emphasizing that trade tariffs could add upward pressure to inflation in the short term and complicate the Fed's efforts to stabilize the economy. He warned that such trade measures are "likely to move us further away from our goals," referring to the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. 

The comments did little to improve sentiment, as major indices were already in the negative territory in the morning session after Nvidia announced it might be unable to sell some high-end chips (including the H20 chips) to China due to export controls and requirements from the Trump administration. As a result, the company planned to take a $5.5 billion charge due to inventory write-downs and canceled sales. Adding to the sector's pressure, chip tool maker ASML posted weak bookings (a key demand indicator) which fell below Wall Street's expectations, noting that tariffs had made the industry's outlook more uncertain. 

Taken together, these updates likely fueled investor anxiety, amplifying concerns about global trade tensions, tech sector vulnerability, and the Fed's limited room to maneuver in an increasingly uncertain macro environment.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.

Among others, following stocks were impacted:

Zooming In On Sunrun (RUN)

Sunrun’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 75 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 5 months ago when the stock dropped 29.3% on the news that renewable energy stocks declined as Republican party candidate Donald Trump was declared the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. 

For clean or renewable energy stocks, President-elect Trump was considered a headwind to their businesses. Specifically, his administration could lead to an overhaul of recent industry progress, including a repeal of President Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. The IRA, as it's known, offers long-term tax credits for solar, wind, geothermal, and other renewable energy projects, often extending them for a decade. These tax credits offer stability and predictability, enabling companies to make long-term investment plans. For example, solar and wind energy developers benefit from a 30% investment tax credit (ITC), which can increase further if certain labor and domestic content standards are met.

Sunrun is down 36.1% since the beginning of the year, and at $6.53 per share, it is trading 69.7% below its 52-week high of $21.50 from August 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Sunrun’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $587.31.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.