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The options positioning heading into NVIDIA’s results is razor-thin, with the stock down almost 4.5% this week. The setup has shifted slightly, with the stock moving closer to the zero-gamma level around $180.
Despite claims of stable home prices, inflation-adjusted price-per-square-foot has climbed sharply, rising over 22% through 2024. Updated metrics show a clear long-term surge in housing costs, not a flat trend.
Equity jitters steepened curves within prior ranges, keeping 10y UST above 4%. Bunds richened vs swaps as long-end rates stayed sensitive to Dutch pension news. TIC data also showed solid foreign demand for US assets, especially Treasuries.
Technical signals in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hint at a possible major top, with gap fills and steep downside targets ahead. Sentiment complacency and AI-driven excess add to risks if a routine bear-market decline unfolds.
Japanese yields are once again breaking out in the back of the curve, with new cycle highs in the 20yr and 40yr weighing on sentiment and risk, and sending the Nikkei not only back below 50K, but below 49K.
Bitcoin may be entering a bear market as energy costs, AI competition, and a completed Elliott Wave pattern raise serious questions about the long-term sustainability of its mining and network security.
In the past month and a half, we've seen silver go from the upper $40s range to as high as $54, come back down, go back up to $54 again, and then sell off.
The “new gold” or “anti-dollar” is in deep, technical trouble. Not only did it break below both rising support lines, but it also invalidated its move above the key psychological $100k level.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq may be on the verge of a sharp pullback, or potentially something much bigger, as the Tech and AI-driven melt-up shows signs of concerning exhaustion.
The Federal Reserve is in an impossible situation. It simultaneously needs to hold rates steady to keep price inflation at bay and lower rates to keep the air in the debt bubble.
AT&T has reiterated its 2025 guidance of adjusted EPS between $1.97 and $2.07 and free cash flow above $16 billion, supported by fiber expansion and debt reduction plans.
Domino's Pizza stock still looks undervalued based on its FCF-based price target of $498.00. Last month, I discussed shorting the $400.00 put expiring this Friday.
After another year of rapid growth, the US ETF industry is evolving into price-based segments, each with distinct product offerings and market leaders. Overall, net inflows into US-listed ETFs year-to-date have exceeded 2024’s annual inflow record
The cost of a house has risen relative to the price level or to the average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers. What about real interest rates? These are most relevant for the non-liquidity-constrained agents.
Globally, central banks have begun the next major easing cycle with a jaw-dropping 320 rate cuts already implemented since the cycle began a mere 24 months ago.
Equity exposure as a percentage of the market portfolio is a leading indicator of out- and underperformance for the asset class: the pinnacle comes before a market fall and the nadir before a rebound.
Wall Street experts are generally pretty bullish about the stock markets in 2026, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be bouts of volatility to navigate amid shifting economic and market trends.
The stock’s decline wiped out billions in market value and underscored nagging doubts about the timeline and commercial viability of Tesla’s Robotaxi ambitions.
As with yesterday, the good news is that important official economic data is being reported again. The bad news is that it is very stale, as in covering last August.
How much additional money is the US government raising with its tariffs? Jay Shambaugh offers some useful perspective in “Tariffs are a particularly bad way to raise revenue”
International Paper has paid variable quarterly dividends since August 1989. It reduced dividends in 2008-09 but has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.46 for December this year, making a forward-looking annual dividend of $1.84 into the new year.
The debt securities category will always be the first choice for risk-averse investors because this class of instruments provides a regular income at low levels of risk.
Historical evidence and recent studies show that tariffs are taxes that raise prices and reduce available quantities of goods and services for US businesses and consumers, resulting in lower income, reduced employment, and lower economic output.
The number of Americans applying for jobless benefits for the first time totaled 232,000 in the week ended Oct. 18, according to the Labor Department website.
